Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.090632 0.101321 0.112398 0.124705 0.137967 0.151801 0.167292
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.077733 0.094131 0.112082 0.133058 0.156764 0.182594 0.212731
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.063475 0.082933 0.105348 0.132754 0.165031 0.201511 0.245528
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.053936 0.075515 0.101531 0.134609 0.174934 0.221895 0.280094
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.045816 0.068536 0.097124 0.134792 0.182143 0.238741 0.310499
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.042397 0.066975 0.098993 0.142382 0.198236 0.266326 0.354135
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.039594 0.065778 0.100979 0.149895 0.214183 0.293897 0.398196
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.034943 0.061376 0.098154 0.150647 0.221152 0.310125 0.428275
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.029803 0.055616 0.092879 0.147573 0.222694 0.319194 0.449251
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.027883 0.054483 0.093952 0.153085 0.235625 0.343004 0.489244
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.025661 0.052599 0.093714 0.156601 0.245799 0.363299 0.524961
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.023339 0.050271 0.092581 0.158654 0.253875 0.380851 0.557292
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.020961 0.047737 0.091168 0.160542 0.262238 0.399621 0.592526
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.020822 0.049161 0.096074 0.172079 0.284681 0.438017 0.654698
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018400 0.046141 0.093634 0.172373 0.291021 0.454652 0.688223
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.016666 0.044177 0.092737 0.174908 0.300585 0.475831 0.728161
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014758 0.041596 0.090564 0.175257 0.306834 0.492430 0.762073
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014436 0.042220 0.093922 0.184495 0.326490 0.528106 0.822531
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014107 0.042778 0.097156 0.193586 0.346073 0.563937 0.883628
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012680 0.040718 0.095502 0.194504 0.353128 0.581914 0.920083
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010825 0.037381 0.091228 0.190802 0.352893 0.589336 0.941853
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010379 0.037320 0.093069 0.197448 0.368804 0.620259 0.996868
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.009693 0.036567 0.093515 0.201680 0.380982 0.645898 1.044723